[Bloomberg](
Next trade talks are penciled in, Boris Johnsonâs very-bad week continues, and Apple Inc. is adding to all that cash.Â
Talk about talks
â[Early October](.â Thatâs when the next face-to-face talks between U.S. and Chinese officials will take place in Washington, according to the Chinese Ministry of Commerce. The loose plans were made in a phone call with Vice Premier Liu He, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer. The latterâs office issued a cautious statement that ministerial-level talks would happen âin the coming weeks.â All told itâs enough to boost market sentiment today given swirling fears over recession. Donât get giddy: President Donald Trumpâs administration is still set to ratchet up levies on Oct.1, and Chinaâs demand to put tariff hikes on hold during negotiations was a big part of what delayed the meetings planned for this month.Â
Boxed in
A bill to stop a no-deal Brexit is poised to become law, blocking Boris Johnsonâs promise to deliver a do-or-die[exit from the European Union by Halloween](. The U.K. prime ministerâs bad first week continued when support from his party eroded further and the House of Lords agreed to complete passage of the anti-no-deal bill by Friday. Johnson tried to call a new election in a bet he could restore his ruling majority â but lost that vote as well. If Johnson canât muster the necessary two-thirds support for an election heâll be forced to request a further delay. What can he do? Heâs set for a speech Thursday designed to appeal directly to voters, employing the campaign skills that helped sell Brexit to the public in the first place. In the latest development, Johnsonâs brother Jo resigned as an MP and Minister.
Sponsored Content by [Masterworks](
Global art sales hit $67.4 billion last year. Be honest: How much of that was you? The super-rich shouldnât get to have all the fun â or take all the profits. With Masterworks, you can join the elite group that has access to the white-hot market of blue-chip art. [Give it a try](.
Â
Taking a bite
Apple Inc., one of the world's most cash-rich companies, has become the latest in an increasing number of investment-grade corporations to take [advantage of the ultra-cheap money]( that's up for grabs in the bond market. The tech giant borrowed [$7 billion](, with the 30-year bond yielding around 2.99%. While concerns are growing in the market that government bonds might [constitute a bubble](, there is little to suggest central banks are going to much to [ruin the debt party]( any time soon.
Markets
Thereâs nothing like a blip of good news on the trade front to buoy stocks. Overnight the MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 1.09%, led by a 1.84% boost for Japanâs Topix index. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 Index was 0.6% higher as solid car sales data from Germany and U.S. boosted automakers. S&P 500 futures pointed to a strong start to the session, the 10-year Treasury yield was at 1.515% at 6:07 a.m. Eastern Time and gold was 0.7% lower.
Coming upâ¦
Purchasing manager surveys are due at 9:45 a.m. while factory orders and durable goods data are up at 10 a.m. It all comes after a report showed German factory figures fell in July, [aggravating an industrial slump]( that has pushed Europeâs largest economy to the brink of recession. U.S. ADP private employment change acts as a curtain-raiser of sorts for Fridayâs nonfarm payrolls number. Also Friday, remarks from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will get parsed for clues on monetary easing.
What we've been reading
This is what's caught our eye over the last 24 hours.
- Parliamentary â[Twilight Zone](â confounds U.K. market strategists.
- Hong Kong tries to soothe investors with a [full-page ad](.
- JPMorgan joins UBS, BNP in [slashing Treasury yield]( forecasts.
- The Fed says [consumer spending]( is âmixedâ and businesses are optimistic.Â
- Mario Draghiâs last salvo of stimulus is [under threat](.
- Add this to the list: U.S. and China [need to talk about AI](.
- [Buying an NFL team]( isnât easy for billionaires, either.Â
- 100 [driverless cars will roam]( freely ahead of Japan's Olympics.
And finally, hereâs what Joe's interested in this morning
Stock futures are up again this morning and are now down just over 2 percent from their all-time highs. The market's got an odd feeling about it because the headline performance of the U.S. equity market doesn't match the increasingly concerned rhetoric about a possible recession. And the headline levels don't seem to reflect concerns about an inverted yield curve and a Fed that needs to cut aggressively to get ahead of a recession. Yesterday on TV, we spoke to Bloomberg Chief Equity Strategist Gina Martin Adams about this seeming disconnect between stocks and everything else, and as she pointed out by some measures the market is in fact flashing recession concerns. If you look for example at the relative PE ratio of defensive vs. cyclical stocks, you see it heading up towards extreme levels, signaling that investors are paying up for safety and not willing to pay up for growth. So the concerns are there. Nonetheless, the situation is still unusual. If you plot that chart against just the S&P 500, you can see multiple times when the two lines went in sharply opposite directions. In 2011, for example, the premium paid for defensive stocks surged while the S&P 500 nearly went into a bear market. During the exuberance of the first quarter of 2018, the defensive premium plummeted and stocks soared. And in the last quarter of last year, when again we almost had a bear market, we saw stocks plunge and the ratio soar. Thus the current quandary. A high and growing premium for defensives, with the headline market just a few good days from a record.
Like Bloomberg's Five Things? [Subscribe for unlimited access]( to trusted, data-based journalism in 120 countries around the world and gain expert analysis from exclusive daily newsletters, The Bloomberg Open and The Bloomberg Close.
Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal. Find out more about how the Terminal delivers information and analysis that financial professionals can't find anywhere else. [Learn more](.
[FOLLOW US [Facebook Share]]( [Twitter Share]( [SEND TO A FRIEND [Share with a friend]](
You received this message because you are subscribed to Bloomberg's Five Things newsletter.
[Unsubscribe]( | [Bloomberg.com]( | [Contact Us](
Bloomberg L.P. 731 Lexington, New York, NY, 10022