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Chinese protests give Xi a headache

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Wed, Aug 28, 2024 10:04 AM

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Protests are rising over China's slowing economy Welcome to Balance of Power, bringing you the lates

Protests are rising over China's slowing economy [View in browser]( [Bloomberg]( Welcome to Balance of Power, bringing you the latest in global politics. If you haven’t yet, sign up [here](. China’s slowdown is presenting a fresh headache for President Xi Jinping: more protests. Instances of dissent rose 18% in the second quarter compared with the same period last year with [economic grievances making up]( two-thirds of cases. That’s according to a new report from China Dissent Monitor at Freedom House, a US advocacy group. So far, labor and real estate are the key pain points. Protests were often driven by stalled housing projects, sudden company closures or lack of liquidity, the inability to pay wages, or even local government’s problems with providing adequate benefits for retirees, the project’s lead said. The figures don’t capture the whole picture — researchers observed a new campaign to scrub content on video platforms early this year, and they also incorporated a new source of data in June. But it does provide a rare snapshot of the mood on the ground in some parts of the country. In tightly controlled and heavily surveilled China, protests don’t present an existential threat to its leader. They’re typically small scale, sporadic and don’t directly criticize Xi. This means they’re unlikely to prompt Beijing to take bolder steps to support the economy. But they are a problem for local officials responsible for resolving the disputes with concessions, suppression or a mix of both. The bigger issue is that the demonstrations are symptomatic of the economic malaise taking its toll across the country. People everywhere are feeling the pinch — and it’s even weighing on demand for the most accessible of goods. This week’s disappointing earnings results are another red flag. They prompted [record-breaking stock selloffs]( in China’s biggest consumer companies, the online retail giant PDD Holdings and the beverage firm Nongfu Spring. The big picture is a nearly four-decade rise in [living standards appears to be stalling]( in China. And for Xi, that means he’s not just dealing with the fallout from a sluggish economy but the much thornier question of how to govern as the country’s boom comes to an end. — [Rebecca Choong Wilkins]( A demonstrator holds a sign reading “There is faith in our soul” during a protest against Covid restrictions in Beijing in November 2022. Source: Bloomberg Global Must Reads Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said he’ll present a plan to force Russia to halt its invasion of his country to Joe Biden just weeks before the US presidential elections. Zelenskiy told reporters he wants to [discuss the blueprint]( with the American president during his visit to the United Nations General Assembly in New York next month. He’ll also present it to presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Pop superstar Taylor Swift may not have given her coveted endorsement to either Harris or Trump, but some of her fans joined singer-songwriter Carole King and thousands of others on a video conference yesterday to [kickstart Swifties for Kamala’s]( organizing efforts. The Zoom call, which organizers said raked in $113,000, is the latest example of identity-based groups organizing online for the vice president ahead of the November ballot. A delegate carries an image of Swift during the Democratic National Convention. Photographer: Victor J. Blue/Bloomberg The UK and Germany are edging toward a major new treaty as part of British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s efforts to improve ties with European allies. Although negotiations are unlikely to be completed before next year, a narrower agreement on defense to facilitate [joint procurement and shared military exercises]( could be forged within months. The UK-Germany treaty will sit alongside a European Union-wide security pact that Starmer’s administration wants to use to bolster cooperation with the wider bloc. Thailand’s top billionaires Sarath Ratanavadi and Dhanin Chearavanont were among the prominent businessmen, politicians and diplomats who turned up at a dinner last week to listen to former leader Thaksin Shinawatra share his vision for the southeast Asian nation. It was the clearest sign yet of the influence he’s likely to wield over [the administration of his daughter]( Paetongtarn Shinawatra, 38, who won a parliamentary vote to become the country’s youngest-ever prime minister. Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador said he’s put his relationship with US Ambassador Ken Salazar “on pause” after criticism of a proposed judicial overhaul, although he won’t ask the envoy to leave the country. Salazar warned last week that Lopez Obrador’s efforts to pass a reform plan that would require federal judges to be elected directly by popular vote [posed a “major risk”]( to Mexico’s democracy. The US special counsel filed an updated indictment of Trump on charges of trying to overturn his [2020 election loss]( to Biden after the Supreme Court found the former president at least partially immune from prosecution related to his official acts. Australia joined with Pacific leaders to announce a major policing initiative to boost coordination on domestic security, in a [potential blow to China’s efforts]( to deepen its links in the contested region. Saudi Arabia suggested it could make a bid to host the Olympics as the desert kingdom forges ahead with [a massive economic overhaul]( that’s seen it invest vast sums of money into sports. Washington Dispatch Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, are scheduled to give their [first joint interview]( tomorrow night on CNN. The network said yesterday that anchor Dana Bash will talk to the Democratic nominees in Georgia, a state that’s crucial to the election strategy of both parties. The session will mark the first lengthy interview for Harris since she replaced Biden at the top of their party’s ticket late last month. Trump and other Republicans have accused her of dodging reporters’ questions and avoiding a substantive discussion. Trump has taken part in recent interviews, albeit in relatively friendly settings. Last night, he appeared with talk show host Dr. Phil McGraw in a conversation recorded earlier. Harris and Trump have agreed to meet in an ABC News debate on Sept. 10. One thing to watch today: With the Federal Reserve poised to begin cutting interest rates, weekly mortgage applications will be reported by the Mortgage Bankers Association. [Sign up for the Washington Edition newsletter]( for more from the US capital and watch Balance of Power at 1 and 5 p.m. ET weekdays on Bloomberg Television. Chart of the Day Many renewable-energy executives complain about the time it takes to secure government permits to build their power plants — not in Germany. Since having to wean itself off Russian gas following Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine, red tape has been drastically reduced, and in just over two years, the country is now [deploying significantly more renewables]( than any other European peer. And Finally The same relentless drive to cut labor costs that saw back-office roles shipped to the Philippines is now starting to turn over some of those duties to bots. All of the major players in its vast outsourcing industry, which is forecast to cross $38 billion in revenue this year, are rushing to [roll out artificial intelligence tools]( to stay competitive. The experiences of staff in the archipelago may be a preview of the challenges and choices coming soon to white-collar workers around the globe. WATCH: Bloomberg’s Annabelle Droulers discusses how workers in the Philippines are living in the new reality of AI. Source: Bloomberg More from Bloomberg - Check out our [Bloomberg Investigates]( film series about untold stories and unraveled mysteries - [Bloomberg Opinion]( for a roundup of our most vital opinions on business, politics, economics, tech and more - [Next Africa]( a twice-weekly newsletter on where the continent stands now — and where it’s headed - [Economics Daily]( for what the changing landscape means for policy makers, investors and you - [Green Daily]( for the latest in climate news, zero-emission tech and green finance - Explore more newsletters at [Bloomberg.com](. Follow Us Stay updated by saving our new email address Our email address is changing, which means you’ll be receiving this newsletter from noreply@news.bloomberg.com. Here’s how to update your contacts to ensure you continue receiving it: - Gmail: Open an email from Bloomberg, click the three dots in the top right corner, select “Mark as important.” - Outlook: Right-click on Bloomberg’s email address and select “Add to Outlook Contacts.” - Apple Mail: Open the email, click on Bloomberg’s email address, and select “Add to Contacts” or “Add to VIPs.” - Yahoo Mail: Open an email from Bloomberg, hover over the email address, click “Add to Contacts.” Like getting this newsletter? [Subscribe to Bloomberg.com]( for unlimited access to trusted, data-driven journalism and subscriber-only insights. Want to sponsor this newsletter? [Get in touch here](. You received this message because you are subscribed to Bloomberg's Balance of Power newsletter. If a friend forwarded you this message, [sign up here]( to get it in your inbox. 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