How to spot market anomalies [image] Being prepared to me means that at a minimum I have a - Projection of the weekly range for the S&P, - Plan how make money, and - Protection process of capital. Letâs cover them all by starting with #3. Capital And Risk Preparing for three weeks of holiday trading is very important as markets and people have less predictable and more distracted schedules. Add to this the entrance of a new year and tax selling indicative of this season for even more reasons to be ready to protect your capital. Price action and player involvement will be skewed. This can show itself through price gaps and other volatility. Itâs nothing to fear â Itâs just something to prepare for. Many professional traders take this time to hone skills and make money. Consider taking profits earlier to take advantage of action that might not be repeated before the end of this bear market year. Where Is The Market Heading? After (another) tough week of FOMC and Retail Sales, itâs hard to imagine the market trading up for the week but put any bias aside. Multiple directions could evolve. My thoughts are that the market will trend up or sideways based on technicals. The seasonals also point to an up week, but Scrooge has been in control all year which has been the strong hold. The arrows show a possible path based on weekly ATRs (average true range) of about 200 points. Either way, the projected path remains down â This too is subject to bias, so stay nimble. [image] When thereâs blood in the streets and the pressure is down in the short-term, mid-term, and long-term (year open), one thing I look for is anomalies. Many things are âback of the mindâ attention worthy. One minor example is the price action on LEN (Lennar) and ORCL (Oracle) compared to the S&P. Both had earnings last week, but Costco, FOMC and Retail Sales took a lot of headline space. Lennar, by the way, confirmed on their conference call what Iâve been observing⦠in my own hometown. Looking at the following charts. Notice some interesting visuals? Take your time. LEN, ORCL, S&P Futures Weekly Charts â Time Period: Six Months Approx: [image] Some might warn âYeah, butâ¦â â And thatâs fine. Appreciate it, really. But that's not my point. Companies are in business to make money, and some are run by some really smart people who are masters in this âAge of Empiresâ world. They are not looking at moving averages or other indicators on the charts of their stock. By the way, Iâve been trading ORCL during this last run up because it appeared on my scans, trades set up, and money is green. Making Money And that is my point. Every week, regardless of what the market is doing or whatâs making headlines, there are opportunities. The key is confidently and consistently applying a proven process knowing that strike outs occur, but the success enjoyed because of base hits far outweighs. Think and win! Celeste Lindman
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